{"id":2870,"date":"2024-12-29T15:15:28","date_gmt":"2024-12-29T23:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/?p=2870"},"modified":"2025-07-21T23:04:47","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T06:04:47","slug":"quantum-computer-hoax-how-many-billions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/quantum-computer-hoax-how-many-billions\/","title":{"rendered":"Quantum Computer Hoax? How many Billions?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Why will we never use Quantum computers at home or in our offices?<\/strong>(1)<\/h3>\n<p>1. <strong>Non Repeatable; non-Replicable Answers<\/strong> ! Quantum computing has an outrageously poor <strong>Qubit Error rate<\/strong> of about 1 error in every 1,000 operations (vs classical computer error rate of ~ 1 error in a sextillion operations).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Is this serious?<\/strong> Well, Imagine using your calculator which give you a wrong answer every thousand times you use it. Or imagine your cars brakes won&#8217;t work every thousand times you step on them.<\/p>\n<p>This is <strong>Fatal and incurable <em>BECAUSE<\/em> Quantum computer&#8217;s Probabilistic operations are inherently non-Deterministic<\/strong> &#8211; diplomatically called &#8220;Noisy.**&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Deterministic means exact and reliable &#8211; vs approximate and variable.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And &#8220;<strong>Error correction&#8221; schemes<\/strong> are &#8212;<br \/>\n1 a) <strong>Classical<\/strong> &#8211; not Quantum (I&#8217;m trying not to laugh), and<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>1 b) Based on the <strong>Pooling of Ignorance<\/strong> principle &#8212; &#8220;In quantum error correction, <em><strong>multiple faulty qubits are combined<\/strong><\/em> to make reliable qubits, called logical qubits&#8230;&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>1 c) <strong>Next to impossible to &#8220;&#8230; diagnose errors<\/strong> without ever directly observing them . . .&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Despite all that &#8211; could they be used for estimating? Questions where exact, correct (non-wrong) answers are not needed. (Obviously this excludes decryption which demands deterministic exactness.)<\/p>\n<p>2a<a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@sidman\/how-far-can-quantum-computing-go-without-quantum-memory-9451aa56e36f\"><strong> No Quantum RAM exists<\/strong> to store Qubits<\/a> &#8211; either momentarily or long-term (Fatal)<\/p>\n<p>(According to the\u00a0<a class=\"mw-redirect\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/No_clone_theorem\">no clone theorem<\/a>, no <a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Quantum_state\">quantum state<\/a> can be reproduced completely meaning we <strong>cannot make quantum RAM<\/strong>)<\/p>\n<p>2b And one Can&#8217;t use non-quantum hybrid RAM because logically we <strong>can&#8217;t read or transfer quantum data to conventional RAM &#8211; thanks again to the <a class=\"mw-redirect\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/No_clone_theorem\">no clone theorem<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"https:\/\/quantumcomputing.stackexchange.com\/questions\/105\/why-must-quantum-computers-be-kept-near-absolute-zero\">Quantum processors need to run at near <strong>Absolute Zero temperature<\/strong><\/a> (at minus 459 degrees F)\u00a0 (Kind of eliminates &#8220;outside the lab&#8221; use. Fatal) &amp; . . .<\/p>\n<p>4. <strong>Hoover Sucks<\/strong>: Quantum processors need to run in an <strong>&#8220;absolute Vacuum&#8221;<\/strong> (No &#8220;outside the lab&#8221; use.\u00a0 If not Fatal, it is in Intensive Care on life-support.)<\/p>\n<p>5 &#8220;<strong>Eye-watering cost&#8221;<\/strong> of a quantum processor (bad, but not necessarily fatal or eventually incurable)*<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"># # #<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>(1) Much of the facts and rationale described here is derived from 2024-2025 papers by George Sidman of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trustwrx.com\/\">Trustwrx.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>* So far some <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eetimes.com\/china-becomes-a-contender-in-quantum-computing\/\">$40 Billion has been spent for Quantum computing<\/a> and anther 25 billion committed.<\/p>\n<p>** Noise is not just quantum probabilities. It is also caused by any exterior phenomena like temperatures above Absolute Zero, data cable \/ conductor RF noise, and random cosmic rays.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Some further reading &#8212;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@sidman\/how-far-can-quantum-computing-go-without-quantum-memory-9451aa56e36f\">How Far Can Quantum Computing Go without Quantum Memory?<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\nWhy the Challenges of Quantum Physics May Deny Quantum Computing a Commercial Future<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@sidman\/why-quantum-computers-will-never-be-a-threat-to-encryption-e94a9eb33595\">Why Quantum Computers Will Never be a Threat to Encryption<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Qubit Noise, Scaling &amp; Memory Barriers Remain Insurmountable<\/p>\n<p><strong>More Technical Reading &#8212;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.math.ucdavis.edu\/~deloera\/TEACHING\/VIDEOS\/Kalai-Lectures\/hkD.pdf\">Why Quantum Computers Cannot Work<\/a><\/strong> &#8211; UC Davis<\/p>\n<p>Fixing the Internet\u2019s Fundamental\u00a0Flaw with Trustworthy Packets<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@sidman\/fixing-the-internets-fundamental-flaw-bdd33a7a803d\">Giving IP Packets a Trusted Identity to Dramatically Improve Internet Security<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why will we never use Quantum computers at home or in our offices?(1) 1. Non Repeatable; non-Replicable Answers ! Quantum computing has an outrageously poor Qubit Error rate of about 1 error in every 1,000 operations (vs classical computer error &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/quantum-computer-hoax-how-many-billions\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3,6,194],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-computers","category-education","category-wasting-money-or-time"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2870"}],"version-history":[{"count":39,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2870\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2916,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2870\/revisions\/2916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}