{"id":9962,"date":"2026-08-03T15:51:33","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T22:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/?p=9962"},"modified":"2026-08-05T17:59:46","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T00:59:46","slug":"spacex-is-a-trainwreck-musk-were-always-going-to-lose-money-so-all-brain-dead-investors-jump-aboard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/spacex-is-a-trainwreck-musk-were-always-going-to-lose-money-so-all-brain-dead-investors-jump-aboard\/","title":{"rendered":"SpaceX is a Bankrupt TrainWreck ! &#8220;We&#8217;re always going to Lose Money&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_10038\" style=\"width: 343px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10038\" class=\" wp-image-10038\" src=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SpaceX-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Woman Laughing Hysterically at Musk's Claiming Absurd SpaceX Values \" width=\"333\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SpaceX-1.jpeg 512w, https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SpaceX-1-200x300.jpeg 200w, https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SpaceX-1-100x150.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 333px) 100vw, 333px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-10038\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Woman Laughing Hysterically at Musk&#8217;s SpaceX Claims<\/strong> (Image AI Generated, Text 100% human generated)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>Is SpaceX worth a Trillion dollars? Or is it really just Dodging Bankruptcy?<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Lets just peek at two things:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Biggest Loser: SpaceX has Lost more value than any company Ever ! <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/markets\/stocks\/articles\/spacex-lost-over-1-trillion-104200260.html\">Over a Trillion dollars in value Lost &#8211; in less than 2 months<\/a>. <\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>SpaceX has admitted <em>officially<\/em> it might <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>NEVER Achieve Profitability<\/em>!-!<\/span><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/li>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&#8220;<em><strong>We have a history of net losses and <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">may not achieve profitability in the future<\/span><\/strong><\/em>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; That is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecconomi.com\/en\/posts\/spacex-s1-filing-financial-reality\"><strong><em>SPACEX&#8217;s own admission<\/em> in their S-1 Filed with the Security and Exchange Commission,<\/strong> May 2026<\/a><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Their SEC Filing does not use weasely lawyer language to say SpaceX won&#8217;t be profitable in merely some vague short-term future. That would leave open a profitability possibility at some unidentified later epoch.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>No, SpaceX admits <strong>it might <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">NEVER<\/span> Achieve Profitability ! !<br \/>\n<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>As in &#8212; Not Going to Happen ! ! !<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And that&#8217;s from the <strong>world&#8217;s biggest SpaceX advocate himself. Who&#8217;s best known character feature is &#8211; gigantic &#8220;overstatements&#8221; (as in whoppers &amp; fish-stories).<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So lets try a <strong>Contest<\/strong> &#8211; See if you can be the first person to read these <strong>fully referenced facts<\/strong> and still believe the <strong>Spectacularly Overvalued <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">SpaceX stock<\/span> <\/strong>is going to make you money &#8211;<em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketbeat.com\/stocks\/NASDAQ\/SPCX\/forecast\/\">like <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Every<\/span> <\/strong>Wall Street ANALYST Believes<\/a> !<\/em><\/p>\n<p>To begin, <strong>SpaceX is not a Space company. It is <\/strong><strong>a money-losing and client-losing AI company holding up a money-losing Rocket company. With both of those somewhat held up by an apparently profitable Starlink. <\/strong>Starlink is reportedly profitable, but there are some accounting &#8220;anomalies&#8221; we&#8217;ll look at later.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/money\/technology\/spacex-s-ipo-filing-is-hallucinatory-and-cnbc.comborderline-dishonest-analyst-says-with-the-stock-priced-at-107-times-sales\/ar-AA28N9dN\"><strong>Ed Elson<\/strong>, an analyst who also co-hosts the <strong>Prof G Markets<\/strong> podcast<\/a> with entrepreneur Scott Galloway,<a href=\"https:\/\/moneywise.com\/investing\/stocks\/spacex-ipo-unserious-borderline-dishonest-ed-elson-prof-g?utm_source=syn_oath_mon&amp;utm_medium=WL&amp;utm_campaign=192823&amp;utm_content=syn_40ba9b52-3801-4b26-ac95-9dd690705e4d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" data-ylk=\"slk:shredded;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;shredded&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\"> shredded<\/a> the company&#8217;s S-1 filing, calling SpaceX a &#8220;<em><strong>Trainwreck<\/strong><\/em>&#8221; and saying the filing was &#8220;<em><strong>unserious, empty, hallucinatory, and borderline dishonest.<\/strong><\/em>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em><strong>The stock is set to be priced at 107 TIMES SALES, which would make it one of the most expensive stocks in history,<\/strong><\/em>&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em><strong>It will be twice as valuable [as] Walmart &#8211; while generating less revenue <\/strong>(dd: not profits)<strong> than Macy&#8217;s.<\/strong><\/em>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a <a href=\"https:\/\/pages.stern.nyu.edu\/~adamodar\/New_Home_Page\/datafile\/psdata.html\"><strong>normal Range of Tech companies Stock Price to Sales Ratios <\/strong>:<\/a><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li class=\"py-1 [&amp;&gt;p]:inline\" data-streamdown=\"list-item\"><strong><span class=\"font-semibold\" data-streamdown=\"strong\">Software (Internet): ~9<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li class=\"py-1 [&amp;&gt;p]:inline\" data-streamdown=\"list-item\"><strong><span class=\"font-semibold\" data-streamdown=\"strong\">Software (System &amp; Application): ~11<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li class=\"py-1 [&amp;&gt;p]:inline\" data-streamdown=\"list-item\"><strong><span class=\"font-semibold\" data-streamdown=\"strong\">Semiconductor: ~15<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li class=\"py-1 [&amp;&gt;p]:inline\" data-streamdown=\"list-item\"><strong><span class=\"font-semibold\" data-streamdown=\"strong\">Semiconductor Equipment: ~7<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>vs SpaceX at ~107 !<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_10000\" style=\"width: 345px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10000\" class=\" wp-image-10000\" src=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WTF.jpg\" alt=\"What the Heck is Muck doing ?\" width=\"335\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WTF.jpg 893w, https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WTF-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WTF-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/WTF-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 335px) 100vw, 335px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-10000\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>What the Heck is Musk doing ?<\/strong> (Image AI Generated, Text 100% human generated)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>SpaceX has already lost more value than any other company<\/strong> &#8211; ever; as in <strong>a Trillion dollars ! Musk should be chanting &#8212; <\/strong>&#8220;<em><strong>We&#8217;re Number 1 (then quietly)<\/strong><\/em> <strong>Loser.<\/strong>&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Further, about<strong> 80% of SpaceX&#8217;s future profitability<\/strong> (of the spectacularly claimed $28 Trillion market) is <strong>based on its &#8220;Grok&#8221; AI engine.<\/strong> But so far, Grok has <em><strong>at most a 3.4%<\/strong> <\/em>market share and SpaceX&#8217;s own engineers aren&#8217;t using it !<\/p>\n<p>So is <strong>Musk<\/strong> a <strong>Con-Man <\/strong>playing his magic flute selling investors the science fiction that <strong>HIS Guiness <em>World-Record Money-Losing Company<\/em> is worth 10-15 Times More than <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2025\/06\/02\/ceo-daily-fortune-500-americas-biggest-companies-by-revenue\/\">any of those boring (<em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">profitable<\/span>) Tech companies?<\/em><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetearthandbeyond.co\/p\/spacex-will-fail\">Will Lockett explains why SpaceX is already &#8220;Functionally Bankrupt.&#8221;<\/a> They are out of money and have no way to pay back any future loans.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>SpaceX Needs Starship to stop Bleeding Money.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>But <strong>Starship is a disaster &#8211; an operational and financial disaster.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Starship can never carry astronauts because it keeps blowing up<\/strong>, costs way too much for a tiny and shrinking customer base, and still can&#8217;t carry even half its promised full load.<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX needs massive profits to repay the investment $$$ billions dumped into Starship &#8212; which is <strong>SpaceX\u2019s only viable route to increasing profits.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>You can&#8217;t carry astronauts with less than 99% successful landings, or you can&#8217;t get verified as a safe human carrying vehicle. But 50% of Starship launches have ended in the upper stage exploding. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/why-do-spacexs-starships-keep-exploding\/\">2025 three launches blew up in a row<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Starship&#8217;s largest payload to space so far was only 10 tons, <strong>a mere tenth of what was promised.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And <strong>Starship costs way more than Falcon to get things in orbit<\/strong>; the inverse of what was claimed &#8211; and desperately needed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Falcon 9 costs about $2,700<\/strong> to send a kilogram to Low Earth Orbit (LEO).<br \/>\nMusk promised Starship would only cost $100 for the same thing. Instead, overly generous calculations show its <strong>more like $4,000 per kilo. Whoops. 40 times more!?!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two thirds (66%) of SpaceX 2024 launches were for SpaceX&#8217;s own Starlink &#8211; which is losing customers fast. Where&#8217;s their needed growing customer base?<\/p>\n<p>Oh and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/10\/20\/science\/nasa-spacex-moon-landing-contract-sean-duffy\"><strong>NASA is giving up on SpaceX<\/strong> &#8211; they are <strong>reopening up Bids\u00a0 to take Humans to the moon.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Oh say supporters, the stock offering will save it.<br \/>\nI suspect they mean the SPCX stock that lost more than a Trillion dollars setting a Guinness World Record for the biggest loss on Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p>Now is a good moment to recall what a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitaly.vc\/blog\/the-rollercoaster-of-twitters-valuation-from-musks-44-billion-buyout-to-today\">bang-up job Musk did with Twitter<\/a>:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/the-byte\/elon-musk-twitter-value-2-years\">With Musk in charge making massive changes, Twitter lost more than half its value in a less than two years<\/a> ($77 stock price crashed down to $33) !<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>And just in case you trust Musk&#8217;s Fish Stories, you might ponder how a <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/elon-musk-twitter-shareholders-class-action-verdict-22ea6013ebc5244cadb9a5902fe42c5d\">California Jury found Musk had misled Twitter investors.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>So, now do you still believe in the Easter Bunny and SpaceX ?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If so, please write me a check for $100-Million US Dollars and I will promise to send something to Mars.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"># # #<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is SpaceX worth a Trillion dollars? Or is it really just Dodging Bankruptcy? Lets just peek at two things: Biggest Loser: SpaceX has Lost more value than any company Ever ! Over a Trillion dollars in value Lost &#8211; in &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/spacex-is-a-trainwreck-musk-were-always-going-to-lose-money-so-all-brain-dead-investors-jump-aboard\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":2,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9962"}],"version-history":[{"count":64,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9962\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10045,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9962\/revisions\/10045"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daviddilworth.com\/pol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}